Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.633440 0.726172 0.826997 0.944664 1.078118 1.224676 1.397729
2025-01-12 0.496370 0.622428 0.771277 0.959586 1.191034 1.465769 1.816178
2025-01-19 0.380921 0.519269 0.695609 0.935878 1.253648 1.658334 2.211499
2025-01-26 0.317531 0.467489 0.672506 0.971375 1.393712 1.966591 2.799514
2025-02-02 0.272118 0.430265 0.660929 1.018684 1.555664 2.326820 3.512031
2025-02-09 0.227136 0.384227 0.627747 1.028010 1.663471 2.625493 4.181522
2025-02-16 0.190022 0.342588 0.593027 1.027599 1.754436 2.909722 4.868136
2025-02-23 0.161142 0.308503 0.563756 1.029695 1.847645 3.207604 5.614690
2025-03-02 0.137670 0.279029 0.536646 1.029856 1.935809 3.506565 6.400359
2025-03-09 0.121013 0.258754 0.521999 1.048856 2.058107 3.876950 7.353418
2025-03-16 0.104087 0.234491 0.495493 1.040784 2.128454 4.162666 8.189978
2025-03-23 0.093353 0.220791 0.487035 1.065814 2.264068 4.582608 9.322791
2025-03-30 0.080481 0.200146 0.461417 1.052965 2.325043 4.872922 10.254343
2025-04-06 0.071853 0.187391 0.450379 1.069035 2.447570 5.299112 11.507094
2025-04-13 0.061486 0.168329 0.422040 1.042464 2.475444 5.537217 12.408326
2025-04-20 0.056728 0.162253 0.422555 1.081580 2.653236 6.109451 14.077334
2025-04-27 0.053185 0.158612 0.428265 1.133824 2.868157 6.787059 16.053071
2025-05-04 0.047863 0.149008 0.417497 1.144055 2.985902 7.264009 17.641794
2025-05-11 0.042729 0.138814 0.403403 1.143539 3.077418 7.692031 19.169485
2025-05-18 0.038361 0.129912 0.391166 1.145819 3.176062 8.147986 20.814618
2025-05-25 0.034453 0.121539 0.378892 1.145970 3.269169 8.601412 22.505644
2025-06-01 0.031694 0.116220 0.374389 1.166980 3.420168 9.213960 24.653593
2025-06-08 0.028330 0.108117 0.360228 1.158036 3.488821 9.628063 26.353965